Because they clearly want to give him one after he was nominated for both Sweeney Todd and Finding Neverland. Two kinda averagy films
Because in a biopic playing John Dillinger. Oscar loves them some biopics.
Its directed by Michael Mann, who may also win himself.
The role is clearly going to be proper grandstanding.
Its set in the past. Which Oscar also loves.
Because too many people think he deserves one and Oscar will have another Al Pacino situation if they don't give it to him soon.
He plays an anti-hero/villain, which is very in right now.
Because its clearly gonna happen. You heard it here first.